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  • Major speculative bubbles often follow a remarkably similar psychological and financial pattern. It all begins with a genuine innovation that profoundly transforms the economy: the Internet in the 1990s, securitized real estate in the 2000s, and today, artificial intelligence and digital infrastructure. This is followed by a phase of acceleration in which the market gradually […]
  • Beyond the stockpiles of enriched uranium and the number of missiles launched by each side, the war against Iran also has a crucial financial dimension that deserves close examination. Oil, “Black Gold” Since 1973, the petrodollar system has required oil-producing countries — particularly OPEC members — to sell their oil in US dollars. This mechanism […]
  • For several weeks now, the market has been behaving as if everything is finally going to “work out.” And this is no longer just the isolated view of a few sell-side strategists: it has now become a widely held consensus among global investors. A recent study by Bank of America Global Research clearly illustrates this: […]
  • To understand something as complex as gold, it is often helpful to shift one’s perspective. I did this last year by proposing a logarithmic interpretation of its price; here is another approach. We almost always look at the price of gold relative to the dollar. This is its benchmark price, which makes sense since the […]
  • Throughout history, the world’s leading power has maintained its dominance through military and monetary might. While the United States has embodied this position for more than half a century, its power is waning under the weight of multiple wars, repeated sanctions, and an exponential increase in its debt, which now exceeds its GDP for the […]